1/10/2024 0 Comments Joan jett tourThe band ends the message by saying, “We’re disappointed to have to take this step but we feel it is necessary to protect the health of everyone. Jett and the Blackhearts report that they will play one more concert on their 2021 schedule, a September 28 gig at the Paramount theater in Huntington, New York. For that reason, we have decided to postpone the remaining performances that were planned for 2021.” While we are fully vaccinated, we are still being extremely cautious to protect our fans, our crew and everyone else that work so hard to put on our shows. Having said that, the band notes, “The continuing surge of COVID cases due to the Delta variant should be of concern to all of us. We all missed being on the road, playing for the fans and playing together again.” ![]() In a joint statement on their official Facebook page, Jett and her group say, “It’s been a thrill to be back on tour recently. Projections for COVID-19 deaths by mid-June have also been revised upwards.Last month, Joan Jett & the Blackhearts returned to the road for the first time since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, but the band has now decided to postpone most of the remainder of its 2021 shows because of the ongoing health crisis. states have begun to ease restrictions on gatherings, though there is data that suggests the infection rate is still increasing in most states. The respiratory disease the virus causes, COVID-19, has been blamed for more than 94,000 deaths.Īll 50 U.S. The novel coronavirus has infected at least 1.5 million people in the United States. Gatherings of over 10 people are also discouraged for "organizations that serve higher-risk populations." The CDC has recommended the cancellation or modification of any "community-wide gatherings" of more than 250 people. Michaels, a type 1 diabetic in a COVID-19 high risk category, canceled some appearances in early-March due to virus concerns. Poison's Bret Michaels and Mötley Crüe's Tommy Lee have each expressed uncertainty as to whether the tour will happen. The four bands on the tour released a joint statement earlier this month, telling fans they would have "an official update" by June 1. ![]() But obviously, that means testing and all that stuff. "I can't make decisions for other people as well," she said. I don't really have that right to mess with their lives like that."Ĭonsidering all the money involved and all the jobs at stake, Jett added that canceling the 'Stadium Tour' isn't "an easy decision." People all over are struggling for various reasons, and many understandably don't feel safe in a crowd. "I wouldn't feel comfortable putting the band or my crew in that position. ![]() ![]() "I would not feel comfortable doing that - I just wouldn't," she told Volume, when asked about the idea of playing a stadium show absent a major breakthrough in the fight against the pandemic. Jett doesn't believe moving forward with the tour is a good idea, assuming it will even be legal given varying restrictions on large gatherings in many states. The tour also features Poison and Joan Jett & the Blackhearts, and as of this writing (May 22) it is still scheduled to begin June 18 in Jacksonville, Florida. Almost every major summer tour in the world has been cancelled or postponed due to the novel coronavirus pandemic, except Mötley Crüe and Def Leppard's co-headlining 'Stadium Tour.'
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1/10/2024 0 Comments Ice cream shops near meHow to order: Stop in at any location Broadway and Uptown are open daily from 12 pm - 12 am, Wash Park runs Sunday - Thursday 12 pm - 10 pm and Friday - Saturday 12 pm - 11 pm, and Jefferson Park is open Sunday 12 pm - 10 pm, Monday - Thursday 2 pm - 10 pm, and Friday - Saturday 2 pm - 11 pm. Located in Tampa, Fla., the firm's product line. Don’t forget to snap a pic at this Instagram-favorite creamery. From Business: Established in 1907, Blue Bell Creameries is one of the leading manufacturers of ice creams in the United States. Known for smooth, unique flavors with a buttercream base, Jeni's puts a premium on high-quality ingredients and synthetic-flavoring-free scoops. If you haven’t been yet, you can’t go wrong with chocolate fudge brownie, Colorado white Russian, blackberry lavender, or vegan milk & cookies. Finally, we sprinkle in lots of love to make melt-in-your-mouth creamy treats for anyone whos feeling naughty or nice. Visit one of Charlotte’s three Jeni’s Splendid Ice Creams locations for an artisan ice cream experience. Even cooler (literally) is that the entire Sweet Action franchise runs on wind-energy and uses compostable packaging at all four locations, meaning it walks the walk when it comes to sustainability. ![]() ![]() Dairy-free and vegan ice cream is plentiful here, as is locally sourced, high quality Colorado dairy (and fresh fruit, too). ![]() In addition to having ice cream that rivals every other place on this list, Sweet Action is also the spot to get a cold summer treat if you’re looking to help out the planet a bit. Broadway, Uptown, Wash Park, Jefferson Park 1/10/2024 0 Comments Susannah flood law and order![]() His opposite in the federal public defender’s office Jill Carlan (Hope Davis) is no less dedicated to hardening up her relatively inexperienced charges while also acting as a mentor. Attorney's Office Roger Gunn (Ben Shenkman) does not cut them much slack. Their frosty chief of the Criminal Division in the U.S. Contrasting their determined optimism are their cohorts in the prosecutor’s office, including the smug and confident Leonard (Regé-Jean Page), the by-the-book and overly rules-adherent Kate (Susannah Flood), and Seth (Ben Rappaport), a clean-cut white guy who looks the part of a man expecting the world to be handed to him. The ensemble cast doesn’t include any starkly morally ambiguous characters like Kerry Washington’s Olivia Pope on "Scandal," or Viola Davis’ Annalise Keating from “How to Get Away With Murder.” Instead, Davies returns to the root of it all, patterning its storyline development after the earliest version of “Grey’s Anatomy.”Īt the core of the story are six ambitious and green lawyers working on opposite sides of the aisle at the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York, known as “the Mother Court.” Three are public defenders, with the remainder working for the prosecution.īritt Robertson plays Sandra, a passionate and determined crusader working as a public defender alongside her best friend Allison (Jasmin Savoy Brown) and a bumbling, friendly underdog named Jay (Wesam Keesh). on ABC, the legal drama utilizes a number of quintessentially Rhimesian devices while eschewing others. This includes Paul William Davies, a writer on “Scandal” whose creation “For the People” follows the formula while sneaking in a public service. She’s also passed along her signature recipe to a few producers who’ve proven able to replicate it. You can recognize a Shondaland product when you see it. She discovered a storytelling architecture that translates well to any number of scenarios - torrid love affairs, strong female friendships, complex male characters that we can’t decide whether to slap or to bang. Seriously, you have to give it up for her ingenuity. Finally, statisticians measure other facial features to determine symmetry and proportion. If the numbers are equal, a person is considered more beautiful.Ĭ. Schmid measures three segments of the face-from the forehead hairline to a spot between the eyes, from between the eyes to the bottom of the nose, and from the bottom of the nose to the bottom of the chin. The ideal result-as defined by the golden ratio-is roughly 1.6, which means a beautiful person's face is about 1 1/2 times longer than it is wide.ī. Then, she divides the length by the width. ![]() Schmid measures the length and width of the face. These measurements are calculated to determine a person's beauty on a scale of 1 to 10. Kendra Schmid, an assistant professor of biostatistics, uses the golden ratio and 29 other measurements to study facial sex appeal. Thousands of years later, scientists adopted this mathematical formula to help explain why some people are considered beautiful…and others are not.ĭr. Phi, named after Phidias the greek sculptor who made the Parthenon statues conforming to the ratio, is the simple mathematical ratio 1.618, it is the code of beauty and is present throughout all living things.During the European Renaissance, renowned artists and architects used an equation known as the "golden ratio" to map out their masterpieces. In fact, it is probably fair to say that the Golden Ratio has inspired thinkers of all disciplines like no other number in the history of mathematics. Biologists, artists, musicians, historians, architects, economists, astronomers, psychologists, and even mystics have debated the basis of its ubiquity and appeal. But the fascination with the Golden Ratio is not confined just to mathematicians. Some of the greatest mathematical minds of all ages, from Pythagoras and Euclid in ancient Greece, through the medieval Italian mathematician Leonardo of Pisa and the Renaissance astronomer Johannes Kepler, to present-day scientific figures such as Oxford physicist Roger Penrose, have spent endless hours over this simple ratio and its properties. The golden ratio (Phi) has fascinated western intellectuals of diverse interests for at least 2,400 years. PHI, THE GOLDEN NUMBER OR DIVINE PROPORTION Traditional facelift techniques can only tighten the underlying muscles in a backwards 45º vector, necessitating secondary procedures to alter midfacial volume – lower eyelid surgery or fat transfer – but to address midfacial volume shift, a more vertical vector is key (more later). This is at the expense of the middle facial third – the area between the eyebrows and the nostrils – which become sunken, hollow and skeletal.įillers and implants can “replace” this volume and create an illusion of youthful midfacial fullness, but this does not address where that volume has gone to! When I perform a facelift, I am looking to resite native volume back to where it came from, not just replace it with borrowed (fat) volume and or artificial fillers. This sagging leads to panfacial volume shift, with the skin, fat and muscle volume collecting in the lower facial third (jowls and neck). So with the proliferation of injectable fillers and volumisation as a contemporary buzzword, what is it we are actually treating? As we age, our facial skin becomes thinner, less elastic and sags under gravity and exposure. When treatments are used responsibly and for a specific aim the results can be very good. The non-surgical market is booming however and for good reason. Honest initial advice would have saved them time, money and risk. ![]() Every week I meet patients who have wasted £1000s on disappointing or equivocal non-surgical results having been initially dissuaded from surgery. These treatments are certainly effective for the right (minor ageing) indications but claims need to be backed by hard evidence and a candid discussion had about their limitations. Relative “demedicalisation” of cosmetic procedures, an increasing consumer drive for fast track and minimal downtime results has led some practitioners to offer ‘lunch hour and non-surgical facelifts” This is irresponsible to prospective patients as at times the marketing can be compelling. There are now far too many facial treatments out there promising the impossible, it’s easy to see how this happened. The key is to directly address the causes of the aged appearance in anatomical layers. Excess skin and fat deposits in the face and neck need to be removed surgically – threads, fillers and machines don’t cut it. Over filling a descended face will make it look puffy and grotesque, a face that is significantly deflated will look pulled and tight if lifted only. A beautiful rejuvenation can only be achieved if natural structure and form is respected. 1/10/2024 0 Comments Pulse pressureNormal heartbeats, for example, would be 60 for infants 70 to 120 for children age 1 to 10 60 to 100 for children older than 10 to adulthood and 40 to 60 for athletes. A normal pulse rate varies according to age of the individual. A definitive diagnosis of hypertension would occur with consistent readings above 140/90. The most common sites for measuring the pulse aside from the wrist are found in the groin, back of the knees, neck, temple and the top of the foot.īlood pressure readings in the range of 120/80 or less remain a normal consideration for adults, while a reading from 120 to 139 over 80 to 89 may warrant a diagnosis as "pre-hypertensive" and would require monitoring. Counting beats for 30 seconds and multiplying by two gives the beats per minute. Measuring the pulse involves gentle pressure using the artery in the wrist by placing the first two fingers on the thumb joint and following down to the inner wrist to feel the heartbeat. Listening for the rhythm of the first heart's beat and the last, the number noted at the sound of the first heartbeat represents the systolic the number noted at the sound of the last beat in a rhythm represents the diastolic numbers of the blood pressure reading. After placing the stethoscope head over the arteries, gradually release pressure while watching the dial and begin to listen carefully. Once secured, inflate the cuff until the needle reaches the 180 to 200 range. The cuff wraps snugly around the upper arm with the rubber tubing directly over the bend of the elbow where the main arteries are. To measure the blood pressure, a person uses a monitor known as a sphygmomanometer and a stethoscope. The difference in the measurements lies in what a person measures: pressure against arteries versus actual heartbeats counted. 1/10/2024 0 Comments Play pinochle now![]() You hand over the A, K, Q, and 10 to your partner. ![]() Getting a score on the meld: Let’s imagine you win the auction at 360 with a hand ofK-Q-J-Q-J-10-A-A-10-K-K-J.The cards that are returned may include none, some, or all of the cards that were first passed.The declarer receives four cards from his or her partner after they have named the trumpsuit.If there is no opening bid during the first round of bidding, the hand is thrown away and a fresh hand is dealt by the next dealer, who shuffles the deck and delivers another hand. ![]() Bids are raised in increments of 10 points at a time.Any round may be skipped or bid on by the players.The dealer receives the last batch of cards after dealing three cards at a time to each player until each player has received 12 cards, according to tradition. The deck may be constructed from two regular 52-card decks by deleting all of the 2s through 8s from each of the decks.įrom ace (highest ranking) to ace (lowest ranking) to ace (lowest ranking) (low). Objet de la compétition: Be the first team to score at least 1,500 points. Partners are seated across from one another. The two players who receive the lowest number of cards from their opponents are the winners. The two players who draw the highest number of cards together create a single team. To form partnerships, all players must draw cards from a deck. ![]() Here’s how to get started: The number of participants is four, who will be playing in pairs. These games are free to play and download only here at is frequently referred to as Racehorse Pinochle when played by a group of four or more people.
1/10/2024 0 Comments Filebot mediainfo
1/10/2024 0 Comments Delish white chicken chili![]() It’s is the primary ingredient in both corn tortillas & Mexican tamales, so even if you’ve never heard of masa harina, chances are it’s probably not a new-to-you ingredient! You can easily find masa harina at your local Mexican market or in the ‘international’ aisle at most conventional grocery stores. Masa harina is essentially finely ground corn flour. In addition to creating a beautiful creamy texture, the masa harina adds another layer of toasty, nutty flavor to the white chili. While the added dairy is always delicious & guaranteed to yield super thick & creamy results, I prefer my white chili a little lighter. You can thicken chili a number of different ways – most creamy white chicken chili recipes do so using cream cheese or sour cream (& sometimes a combination of both!).
1/9/2024 0 Comments 1974 growing up skipperHe played a few matches at the end of the season for Melbourne's affiliate team, the Casey Scorpions, in the Victorian Football League (VFL) development league. After undergoing surgery in 2009 to repair his ACL, he missed the majority of the 2010 season. At the time of the draft, he was the second tallest player in the league at 208 cm, behind Aaron Sandilands at 211 cm. Gawn was recruited by the Melbourne Football Club with their fifth selection and thirty-fourth overall in the 2009 national draft. AFL career 2010–2013: Early years and ongoing injury He was initially selected in Victoria Metro's squad for the 2009 AFL Under 18 Championships, but missed the entire championships due to his knee injury. In 2009, he played with the Sandringham Dragons in the TAC Cup and played the first three matches of the year before tearing his anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) in the match against the Geelong Falcons at Skilled Stadium. He attended McKinnon Secondary College and played his junior career with the Ormond Football Club. ![]() Australian rules football was his number one sport. Following his father's recommendation, he played rugby union in Under 10s for Powerhouse RUFC in Albert Park, Victoria. A few years later, his parents settled permanently in Melbourne. ![]() 2.2 2014–2016: Improvement, breakout and first All-Australian selectionīorn in Australia to parents Sandra (of New Zealand) and Robert (of New Zealand, and former South Island rugby representative player ) who migrated to Australia as young adults they moved Max to Greymouth on the South Island of New Zealand at the age of 3.2.1 2010–2013: Early years and ongoing injury.Gawn was named as Melbourne's captain at the start of the 2020 AFL season, and in 2021 led the club to its first premiership since 1964. Knee and hamstring injuries hampered his first four seasons in the AFL before he moved into the number one ruck position at Melbourne in 2015 along with All-Australian selection in 2016. He made his AFL debut in the 2011 AFL season. A basketballer and rugby union player at a young age, he pursued his career in Australian rules football and was drafted to the Melbourne Football Club with the thirty-fourth selection in the 2009 AFL draft. A ruckman, 208 cm tall and weighing 108 kg, Gawn is capable of contributing in both the ruck and forward line. Max Gawn (born 30 December 1991) is a professional Australian rules footballer playing for the Melbourne Football Club in the Australian Football League (AFL). AFLCA Champion Player of the Year: 2018. ![]() 2× Keith 'Bluey' Truscott Medallist: 2018, 2019.Be aware of email scams designed to part you from your credit card information. Use a credit card with online fraud protection. Only use secure websites if you are transferring funds via the site. Find out about billing, guarantees and delivery before you buy. Find out more about a company's reputation. Ensure that you know the identity, location and contact details of the online retailer. ![]() Wish you happiness and good fortune and get a Barbie GROWING UP SKIPPER DOLL w Outfits 2 Dolls in 1 For Twice as Much Fun 1974 Mattel Hawthorne, that is priced right for the money you pay. Click the button below to go to online store with recommended.
1/9/2024 0 Comments Aquamacs sample code![]() XeTeX now comes bundled with MacTeX, so you may already have it installed on your system. XeTeX is a LaTeX-like engine which allows for powerful OpenType font selection and thus truly general typesetting. Now available on Overleaf! See the openly shared Overleaf project for caxetexFreeOL. Scripts: See help for partialRankBayes and run example(partialRankBayes) from the command line in R.Ī XeTeX stylesheet for scientific papers and books that uses only free OpenType fonts. Also included are prediction functions for each model, and random number generators for partial ranks.ĭependencies: R2WinBUGS, coda, lattice, MCMCpack (all available from CRAN) The package also contains censored regression and ordered probit approaches which do not account for these dependencies. This package includes a Bayesian estimator for partial rank data, based on the rank likelihood, which accounts for the dependencies across different ranked observations. ![]() Information from known ranks can be used to estimate relationships among, and unknown values of, partially observed ranks. Partial rank data are observed up a known interval of ranks, called a tier. If you would like to contribute, please contact Chris Adolph via the email at left.īayesian estimation of partial rank regression models. The simcf + tile combination thus offers more control to advanced R users than Zelig, but at present supports a narrower range of models.ĭependencies: Often used in conjunction with the tile package provided above.ĭevelopment: simcf is presently in development through this Github repository. ![]() This makes simcf particularly useful in conjunction with the tile package, and in particular its ropeladder and lineplot functions. simcf offers similar functionality to Zelig, but is more modular: users can use any function they like to do the initial statistical analysis, then use simcf to produce counterfactual simulations, and then plot the results of those simulations using any package they wish. Currently supported models include linear regression, linear models with a lagged dependent variable, logit, probit, ordered logit and probit, multinomial logit, and log-linear models like Poisson and Negative Binomial regression. Version 0.2.20 updated to work with R 4.2.0Ĭalculate counterfactual expected values, first differences, and relative risks, and their confidence intervals. If you would like to contribute, please contact Chris Adolph via the email at left. R code and data for tile exploratory data analysis using scatterplots ( sample output).ĭevelopment: tile is presently in development through this Github repository.R code for simcf + tile interpretation of a multiple models using tiled ropeladders ( three separate examples of sample output).R code and data for simcf + tile interpretation of a probit of democracy using tiled lineplots ( sample output).R code and data for simcf + tile interpretation of a logit of voting using lineplots ( sample output).In addition, see the scripts below, and still more examples in the package help files. Scripts: “Tufte Without Tears” provides an overview of the package and several examples of tile in action. Build your own tiled graphics from primitivesĭependencies: Most examples in the tile package require the R package simcf, available on this page.Fully control titles, annotation, and layering of graphical elements.Avoid extrapolation from the original data underlying your model.Summarize uncertainty in inferences from model.Create more experimental formats like ropeladders, nightplots, and riceplots.Make standard displays like scatterplots, lineplots, and dotplots.tile plots data to one or more graphical displays in a tiled layout with automated (or customizable) titles, axes, and annotations, and can solve many graphics problems: Version 0.4.17 updated to work with R 4.2.0Ī fully featured R graphics package built on the grid graphics environment. Need help installing a package? Choose your OS: |
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